Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.005406 0.005708 0.006020 0.006369 0.006747 0.007146 0.007600
2026-02-01 0.004983 0.005434 0.005924 0.006497 0.007155 0.007888 0.008775
2026-02-08 0.004638 0.005165 0.005755 0.006469 0.007319 0.008307 0.009556
2026-02-15 0.004391 0.004971 0.005636 0.006465 0.007480 0.008701 0.010307
2026-02-22 0.004144 0.004754 0.005466 0.006373 0.007513 0.008923 0.010841
2026-03-01 0.003939 0.004569 0.005319 0.006291 0.007540 0.009126 0.011350
2026-03-08 0.003797 0.004452 0.005242 0.006285 0.007657 0.009441 0.012020
2026-03-15 0.003586 0.004236 0.005030 0.006094 0.007514 0.009397 0.012182
2026-03-22 0.003490 0.004159 0.004988 0.006116 0.007650 0.009732 0.012899
2026-03-29 0.003424 0.004116 0.004986 0.006187 0.007853 0.010167 0.013793
2026-04-05 0.003311 0.004007 0.004891 0.006127 0.007869 0.010333 0.014289
2026-04-12 0.003226 0.003931 0.004836 0.006117 0.007951 0.010597 0.014952
2026-04-19 0.003128 0.003836 0.004753 0.006066 0.007973 0.010775 0.015500
2026-04-26 0.003101 0.003832 0.004791 0.006186 0.008250 0.011356 0.016764
2026-05-03 0.003022 0.003758 0.004730 0.006160 0.008307 0.011596 0.017469
2026-05-10 0.002957 0.003697 0.004686 0.006156 0.008394 0.011887 0.018287
2026-05-17 0.002868 0.003602 0.004589 0.006070 0.008351 0.011962 0.018718
2026-05-24 0.002787 0.003516 0.004502 0.005993 0.008316 0.012048 0.019174
2026-05-31 0.002734 0.003465 0.004463 0.005989 0.008394 0.012325 0.020018
2026-06-07 0.002628 0.003340 0.004314 0.005810 0.008185 0.012099 0.019854
2026-06-14 0.002589 0.003306 0.004296 0.005830 0.008298 0.012436 0.020848
2026-06-21 0.002566 0.003294 0.004308 0.005897 0.008488 0.012921 0.022200
2026-06-28 0.002508 0.003231 0.004243 0.005841 0.008473 0.013034 0.022774